Saturday 14 September 2013

War in Syria: Another Stage in Preparations for U.S. Boots on the Ground

The destruction of Syria as an independent nation is imminent. Like Libya, the Arab Syrian Republic is doomed to undergo forced disintegration and subjugation by the hordes of CIA-controlled Islamist groups, including Jabhat al Nusra, Islamic State of Iraq, and al-Sham, that have already occupied large swaths of the territory in the north of Syria. At present, motley crews of jihadists in the south of the country are being increasingly empowered by the renewed influx of arms and money from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey, Lebanon, Jordan and other allied countries, most notably the U.S. and France. Meanwhile, the Al-Qaeda-affiliated Islamic Fundamentalists from groups like Jabhat al Nusra, the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, which have gained a foothold in the north of Syria, get a tighter grip on power as they have come to dominate local authorities there, including by hastily imposing the so-called Shariah law.

The thing is Al-Qaeda affiliates already have better resources and considerable foreign support to establish their Islamist dictatorship upon local population, even if there is an evident lack of local support. Where they have failed to overpower the local population militarily so far, they have resorted to do so through the distribution of foreign humanitarian aid to assail temporarily any popular uprising against the draconian rules of the Shariah law, immediately introduced as the signature mark of their rule by the Islamists.

There are pockets of more or less intensive Islamist dictatorship present in the Al-Qaeda-occupied areas. The majority of the Syrian population have pushed back against the hardline measures imposed on them by the extremists groups and massive protests by thousands of citizens against the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham in areas like Aleppo are taking place every day, now. The so-called Shariah law, forcibly imposed there by the extremists have virtually disrupted whatever normal economic and cultural activity remained in the north of the country. Large portions of Syrian population there, where the Islamists have taken control of local authorities, have been immediately plunged in terror-stricken stupor.

The U.S. aim is to significantly degrade Bashar Assad’s government position in Syria by implementing additional sanctions and tying his hands with U.N.-related resolutions and initiatives, while preparing for a major strike, which would topple the incumbent regime and make room for the Islamists to take over the control of the whole nation. That can be possible if there is no weapons of mass destruction in the possession of Assad’s government and if the significant portion of Assad’s army is already occupied, fighting off the insurgents inside the country.

With large areas in the north already occupied and firmly controlled by the rebels, the major efforts to draw Syrian army into a quagmire of incessant combat fighting will be taken in the south of the country. The U.S., that are actively pushing the Assad’s government into disarmament process, have already admitted that they are going to continue to support the rebels, who are fighting in the south of Syria, both politically and militarily. Even though they have admitted that ongoing fighting in Syria will make it very difficult and virtually impossible to make sure that Syria’s arsenal of chemical weapons is removed or destroyed by the middle of 2014, the U.S. administration have made it a matter of fact that CIA will continue to fuel up the war there.

As Amy E. Smithson, an expert on chemical weapons at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies said: “This situation has no precedent. They are cramming what would probably be five or six years’ worth of work into a period of several months, and they are undertaking this in an extremely difficult security environment due to the ongoing civil war.”

Thus, what the Americans have proposed as a Russian and American framework agreement on chemical weapons disarmament of the Syrian government is in fact a not accomplishable task. And, given their approach to this “starting point”, which Britain’s Foreign Secretary, William Hague, welcomed, describing it as a “a significant step forward”, the U.S. does not really count on having Syria’s chemical weapons stockpiles destroyed. That is not the true objective!

As if to prove the point, the CIA-backed rebels have made it clear that they are not going to let U.N. inspectors work in Syria. Qassim Saadeddine, a Supreme Military Council commander in northern Syria, told Reuters: “Let the Kerry-Lavrov plan go to hell. We reject it and we will not protect the inspectors or let them enter Syria.” There will be no ceasefire so the inspectors can carry out their work.

As in the case of Iraq war of 2003, having U.N. inspectors on Syrian soil inventory and remove weapons of mass destruction there is just another ploy by the U.S. planners to initiate another phase in their preparations for a final stage of the military campaign in Syria. The U.N. will play its usual role. The framework agreement and the annexes are to be incorporated in a United Nations Security Council resolution that is to be adopted in New York. Not surprisingly, speaking at a joint news conference with his Russian counterpart, Secretary of State John Kerry said if Mr. Assad fails to comply with the agreement, the issue would be referred to the United Nations Security Council, where the violations would be taken up under Chapter 7 of the United Nations Charter, which authorizes punitive action.

Unlike Iraq, Syria has staunch allies, or at least it appears so. Syria’s chemical weapons agreement has been presented to the world as Russia’s initiative, whereas the initial agreement to make Bashar Assad agree to U.N. chemical weapons inspections was reached earlier. During their G20 summit meeting in St. Petersburg, Barack Obama and Russian President Vladimir Putin had again privately discussed certain details regarding the issue of Syria’s chemical weapons framework agreement, long before Mr. Kerry played his part in Europe by mentioning possible handover and destruction of Syria’s chemical stockpiles by Bashar Assad.

Thereby, Russia has played its part in the destruction of Syria already! Without Russian participation, Syrian government perhaps would have not agreed to follow such a brilliant initiative, if it had been presented to Bashar Assad directly by the U.S.

Saddam Hussein’s experience regarding such a cooperation with U.N. inspectors has proven that such initiatives in fact will mean another stage in U.S. preparation for a large-scale ground campaign, which will serve as the final stage in U.S.-led military efforts against Syria. Russia has helped to make it look like a victory for Moscow-backed Bashar Assad. Whereas, in fact, it was just a little trick of U.S.-Russia joint diplomatic maneuvering, which has brought about another step forward in a pre planned sequence of events that precede the final decisive blow to Syrian government.

It will be easier to do so when Syria is mired not only militarily but diplomatically as well, with U.N. inspectors on the ground and U.S. clandestine operations inside Syria providing additional support to the rebels. Given the real chances of Syria’s chemical weapons agreement, U.S military attack on Syria is just a matter of time. It should come as no surprise then that George Little, the Pentagon press secretary, was all too happy to emphasize the possibility of unilateral American military force. “We haven’t made any changes to our force posture to this point,” Mr. Little said. “The credible threat of military force has been key to driving diplomatic progress, and it’s important that the Assad regime lives up to its obligations under the framework agreement.”

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